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The Human Nature of Inflation - Liviu Voinea

The Human Nature of Inflation

The Role of Defensive Expectations

(Autor)

Buch | Hardcover
2026
Springer International Publishing (Verlag)
978-3-031-95440-5 (ISBN)
CHF 59,90 inkl. MwSt
  • Noch nicht erschienen - erscheint am 25.05.2026
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This book develops the concept of defensive expectations in relation to inflation. It examines how after an income loss, people save more to make up for that loss these are compensatory savings, in excess of precautionary savings and indifferent to interest rate cuts. Inflation stays low until households fully recover their loss and it increases afterwards. People think of their loss in terms of stock, which is calculated by the cumulative wage gap a better measure of slack than the output gap or the unemployment gap. A revised Phillips Curve shows resemblances to the loss-gain function.

This book contributes to a better understanding of different inflation dynamics, including the periods of low inflation and the sharp increases after the COVID-19 pandemic. It is relevant to policymakers and researchers, as well as more general readers interested in an alternative explanation of inflation, savings and consumption behavior during and after recessions. 

Liviu Voinea is a Professor at the Bucharest University of Economic Studies and Alternate Executive Director at the World Bank. He was previously Deputy Governor of the National Bank of Romania.

1. The Phillips Curve: the good, the bad and the ugly.- 2. Dead is dead.- 3. Introducing the defensive expectations.- 4. Introducing the cumulative wage gap.- 5. Introducing compensatory savings.- 6. Inflation as a function of the cumulative wage gap.- 7. The defensive expectations theory was right.

Erscheinungsdatum
Zusatzinfo Approx. 150 p. 30 illus.
Verlagsort Cham
Sprache englisch
Maße 148 x 210 mm
Themenwelt Sozialwissenschaften Politik / Verwaltung
Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre Makroökonomie
Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre Wirtschaftspolitik
Schlagworte Cumulative income loss • Cumulative wage gap • Defensive expectations • Economic impact of Covid-19 • Economic output gap • Fiscal policy support • Global Supply Chains • Keynesian Phillips Curve • Monetary policy support • Phillips Curve • Rising inflation • Unemployment gap • Wage Rigidity
ISBN-10 3-031-95440-8 / 3031954408
ISBN-13 978-3-031-95440-5 / 9783031954405
Zustand Neuware
Informationen gemäß Produktsicherheitsverordnung (GPSR)
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