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The Price of Money -

The Price of Money

A Guide to the Past, Present, and Future of the Natural Rate of Interest
Buch | Softcover
216 Seiten
2025
Oxford University Press Inc (Verlag)
978-0-19-780091-1 (ISBN)
CHF 34,90 inkl. MwSt
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An accessible guide to the natural rate of interest, why it is likely going up, and what that means for the future of the global economy and markets.

Ask most people who sets interest rates, and they'll say it's the central bank. At a fundamental level, though, decisions by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and their peers around the world are constrained by the natural rate of interest. The natural rate - the interest rate that balances supply of saving and demand for investment, whilst keeping inflation low and employment high - has moved from academic obscurity to a central role in monetary policy, and the operation of the economy and financial markets.

For almost half a century from the 1970s to the 2010s, the natural rate in the US and other advanced economies fell. In the last decade, it has started to rise. In the years ahead, the cost of borrowing has further to climb. That shift from falling to rising borrowing costs reflects seismic shifts in demographics, technology, and geopolitics. In the years ahead, risk factors from war to artificial intelligence and climate change could accelerate its rise. For everyone from Ministers of Finance balancing the books to Wall Street titans making the next big bet, the shift from falling to rising borrowing costs has profound consequences. In a world where money is more expensive, the cost of managing it poorly gets higher.

In The Price of Money, the Bloomberg Economics team explain the evolution of the natural rate, the forces driving it, where it is headed, and what that means for everything from government debt to saving for retirement.

Jamie Rush is Chief European Economist for Bloomberg Economics, based in London. He has previously worked at the British Treasury, the New Zealand Treasury, and the UK Office for Budget Responsibility. He holds a PhD in economics from the University of Sheffield. Tom Orlik is Chief Economist for Bloomberg Economics, based in Washington DC. Previously, Orlik was the Chief Asia economist for Bloomberg and China economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, based in Beijing. Prior to a decade in China, he worked at the British Treasury, European Commission, and International Monetary Fund. He is the author of Understanding China's Economic Indicators and China: The Bubble that Never Pops. Stephanie Flanders is global head of Economics and Government at Bloomberg News and Research, based in London. She was previously Chief Market Strategist for Europe at JP Morgan Asset Management and Economics Editor at the BBC. She has also served as Senior Advisor to US Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers, and worked at the New York Times, Financial Times, Institute for Fiscal Studies, and London Business School. She is an Honorary Fellow of Balliol College, Oxford and a Fellow of the Society of Professional Economists.

Chapter 1 - The Price of Money is Going Up - Jamie Rush, Stephanie Flanders, and Tom Orlik
Chapter 2 - From Wicksell to Bernanke - Jamie Rush and Tom Orlik
Chapter 3 - A New Model of the Natural Rate of Interest - Jamie Rush and Martin Ademmer
Chapter 4 - Hard Times, Happy Days, and Electric Sheep - Ana Andrade
Chapter 5 - Demographic Destiny - Stuart Paul and David Wilcox
Chapter 6 - No More Free Lunch - Maeva Cousin and Jamie Rush
Chapter 7 - Temperature Rising - Maeva Cousin and Jamie Rush
Chapter 8 - The Rich Get Richer, The Rates Get Lower - Selva Bahar Baziki and Adriana Dupita
Chapter 9 - China Shock - Chang Shu, Eric Zhu, David Qu, and Tom Orlik
Chapter 10 - The Problem With Petrodollars - Ziad Daoud
Chapter 11 - Russia's Revenge - Alex Isakov
Chapter 12 - The Return of History - Maeva Cousin, Dan Hanson, Eleonora Mavroeidi, Bhargavi Sakthivel, Tom Orlik, Jamie Rush, and Jennifer Welch
Chapter 13 - The Era of Falling Rates is Over - Jamie Rush
Chapter 14 - Monetary Policy in an Age of Scarcity - Jamie Rush, Dan Hanson, and Maeva Cousin
Chapter 15 - A More Expensive World - Stephanie Flanders

Erscheinungsdatum
Zusatzinfo 70 figures and 6 tables
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Maße 158 x 232 mm
Gewicht 277 g
Themenwelt Wirtschaft Betriebswirtschaft / Management Rechnungswesen / Bilanzen
Wirtschaft Volkswirtschaftslehre Makroökonomie
ISBN-10 0-19-780091-2 / 0197800912
ISBN-13 978-0-19-780091-1 / 9780197800911
Zustand Neuware
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