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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 -  Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations,  Oecd

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 (eBook)

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2017 | 1. Auflage
100 Seiten
OECD Publishing (Verlag)
978-92-64-27548-5 (ISBN)
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Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.


Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

Acronyms and abbreviations


ACP
African Caribbean and Pacific countries
AEC
ASEAN Economic Community
AGEI
Agricultural Growth Enabling Index
AMIS
Agricultural Market Information System
ARC
Agricultural Risk Coverage (US Farm Bill Instrument)
ASEAN
Association of South East Asian Nations
ASF
African Swine Fever
Bln
Billion
Bln L
Billion litres
BRIC
Emerging economies of Brazil, Russian Federation, India and China
BRICS
Emerging economies of Brazil, Russian Federation, India, China and South Africa
Bln t
Billion tonnes
CAP
Common Agricultural Policy (European Union)
CCAFS
Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
CCC
Commodity Credit Corporation
CFP
Common Fisheries Policy (European Union)
CETA
Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement
ChAFTA
China-Australia Free Trade Agreement
CIF
Cost, insurance and freight
CIS
Commonwealth of Independent States
CPI
Consumer Price Index
CPIF
Consumer Price Index for Food
CRP
Conservation Reserve Program (United States)
CSP
Conservation Stewardship Program (United States)
CTA
Technical Centre for Agricultural and Rural Cooperation
cts/lb
Cents per pound
CUFTA
Canada-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement
CVD
Countervailing duty
c.w.e.
Carcass weight equivalent
DDGs
Dried Distiller’s Grains
dw
Dressed weight
EBA
Everything-But-Arms Initiative (European Union)
EISA
Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (United States)
El Niño
Climatic condition associated with the temperature of major sea currents
EMEs
Emerging Market Economies
EPA
US Environmental Protection Agency
EPAs
Economic Partnership Agreements
ERS
Economic Research Service of the US Department for Agriculture
est
Estimate
EU
European Union
EU15
Fifteen member states that joined the European Union before 2004
EU28
Twenty eight member states of the European Union
FAO
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FDP
Fresh dairy products
FDI
Foreign direct investment
FFV
Flex fuel Vehicles
FOB
Free on board (export price)
FMD
Foot and Mouth Disease
FTA
Free Trade Agreement
G-20
Group of 20 important developed and developing economies (see Glossary)
GDP
Gross domestic product
GDPD
Gross domestic product deflator
GHG
Greenhouse gas
GIEWS
Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture
GM
Genetically modified
GVCs
Global value chains
ha
Hectares
HFCS
High fructose corn syrup
hl
Hectolitre
IEA
International Energy Agency
IFA
International Fertilizer industry association
IFAD
International Fund for Agricultural Development
IFPRI
International Food Policy Research Institute
IGC
International Grains Council
ILUC
Indirect Land Use Change
IMF
International Monetary Fund
IPCC
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IUU
Illegal, unreported and unregulated (fishing)
kg
Kilogrammes
kha
Thousand hectares
kt
Thousand tonnes
La Niña
Climatic condition associated with the temperature of major sea currents
LAC
Latin America and the Caribbean
Lao PDR
Lao People’s Democratic Republic
lb
Pound
LDCs
Least Developed Countries
lw
Live weight
MBM
Meat and bone meal
MDGs
Millennium Development Goals
MENA
Middle East and North Africa
MERCOSUR
Mercado Común del Sur / Common Market of South America
MFA
Multi-fibre Arrangement
Mha
Million hectares
mln
Million
Mn L
Million litres
MPS
Market Price Support
Mt
Million tonnes
NAFTA
North American Free Trade Agreement
OECD
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
OIE
World Organisation for Animal Health
OLS
Ordinary Least Squares
OPEC
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
p.a.
Per annum
PCE
Private consumption expenditure
PEDv
Porcine Epidemic Diarrhoea virus
PLC
Price Loss Coverage (US Farm Bill instrument)
PoU
Prevalence of Undernourishment
PPI
Producer Price Index
PPP
Purchasing power parity
PSE
Producer Support Estimate
R&D
Research and development
RED
Renewable Energy Directive in the European Union
RFS / RFS2
Renewable Fuels Standard in the United States, which is part of the Energy Policy Act
RIN
Renewable Identification Numbers prices
rse
Raw sugar equivalent
RTA
Regional Trade Agreements
r.t.c.
Ready to cook
r.w.e.
Retail weight equivalent
SDG
Sustainable Development Goals
SFP
Single Farm Payment (European Union)
SMP
Skim milk powder
SPS
Single payment scheme (European Union)
t
Tonnes
t/ha
Tonnes/hectare
TFP
Total Factor Productivity
TPP
Trans Pacific Partnership
tq
Tel quel basis
TRQ
Tariff rate quota
UN
The United Nations
UNDP
United Nations Development Programme
UNEP
United Nations Environment Programme
UNFCCC
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
URAA
Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture
US
United States
USDA
United States Department of Agriculture
VIFEP
Vietnam Institute of Fisheries and Economic...

Erscheint lt. Verlag 10.7.2017
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Weitere Fachgebiete Land- / Forstwirtschaft / Fischerei
ISBN-10 92-64-27548-7 / 9264275487
ISBN-13 978-92-64-27548-5 / 9789264275485
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