The Geriatric Peace

Population Aging and the Decline of War

Mark L. Haas (Autor)

Buch | Hardcover

360 Seiten

2025
Oxford University Press Inc (Verlag)
978-0-19-751173-2 (ISBN)

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The vast majority of the world's countries are experiencing a demographic revolution: dramatic, sustained, and likely irreversible population aging. States' median ages are steadily increasing as the number of people ages 65 and older skyrockets. Analysts and policymakers frequently decry population aging's domestic costs, especially likely slowing economic growth and massive new public expenditures for elderly welfare. But aging has a major yet largely unrecognised international benefit: it significantly reduces the likelihood of international war. Although wars continue to rage in parts of the world, almost none involve aged countries. This book provides a comprehensive and groundbreaking argument why population aging will be a powerful force for peace.

Aging will significantly reduce states' military capabilities available for war while also boosting leaders’ and citizens' preferences for peaceful foreign policies. At the same time, the effects of aging will help prevent the emergence of a power transition between the United States and China, which would be a development that is particularly likely to devolve into armed hostilities. If an aged country does initiate war, the effects of aging will create major barriers to military success. The more aging reduces the probability of victory, the greater the disincentives to aggressing. Detailed case studies show how aging has affected the capabilities and preferences in Japan, China, the United States, and Russia.

Mark L. Haas is the Duquesne Professor of Political Science at Duquesne University in Pittsburgh. He formerly was a National Security Fellow at the Olin Institute for Strategic Studies and an International Security Fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, both at Harvard University. Haas received his Ph.D. in political science from the University of Virginia and his B.A. in political science, economics, and history from Duke University.

Dedication
Acknowledgements
List of Figures and Tables
Chapter 1. Population Aging: Inevitable, and a Force for Peace
Chapter 2. Population Aging and Reduced Capabilities for War
Chapter 3. Population Aging and Reduced Preferences for War
Chapter 4. Population Aging and Underbalancing in Japan
Chapter 5. Population Aging, the Decline of China's Power, and Preferences for Peace
Chapter 6. Population Aging in the United States: International Dominance and Domestic Polarization
Chapter 7. Population Aging in Russia: Old, Aggressive, and Power Handicapped
Chapter 8. Conclusion

Erscheinungsdatum	05.08.2023
Verlagsort	New York
Sprache	englisch
Maße	156 x 234 mm
Gewicht	658 g
Themenwelt	Sozialwissenschaften ► Pädagogik
	Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung ► Staat / Verwaltung
	Sozialwissenschaften ► Politik / Verwaltung ► Vergleichende Politikwissenschaften
ISBN-10	0-19-751173-2 / 0197511732
ISBN-13	978-0-19-751173-2 / 9780197511732
Zustand	Neuware