Advances in Reliability Analysis and its Applications (eBook)

Mangey Ram, Hoang Pham (Herausgeber)

eBook Download: PDF

2019
X, 387 Seiten
Springer International Publishing (Verlag)
978-3-030-31375-3 (ISBN)

Infos

This book presents the latest research in the fields of reliability theory and its applications, providing a comprehensive overview of reliability engineering and discussing various tools, techniques, strategies and methods within these areas. Reliability analysis is one of the most multidimensional topics in the field of systems reliability engineering, and while its rapid development creates opportunities for industrialists and academics, it is also means that it is hard to keep up to date with the research taking place. By gathering findings from institutions around the globe, the book offers insights into the international developments in the field. As well as discussing the current areas of research, it also identifies knowledge gaps in reliability theory and its applications and highlights fruitful avenues for future research.

Covering topics from life cycle sustainability to performance analysis of cloud computing, this book is ideal for upper undergraduate and postgraduate researchers studying reliability engineering.

Dr. Mangey Ram received the Ph.D. degree major in Mathematics and minor in Computer Science from G. B. Pant University of Agriculture and Technology, Pantnagar, India. He has been a Faculty Member for around ten years and has taught several core courses in pure and applied mathematics at undergraduate, postgraduate, and doctorate levels. He is currently a Professor at Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), Dehradun, India. Before joining the Graphic Era, he was a Deputy Manager (Probationary Officer) with Syndicate Bank for a short period. He is Editor-in-Chief of International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences and the Guest Editor & Member of the editorial board of various journals. He is a regular reviewer for international journals, including IEEE, Elsevier, Springer, Emerald, John Wiley, Taylor & Francis and many other publishers. He has published 150 plus research publications in IEEE, Taylor & Francis, Springer, Elsevier, Emerald, World Scientific and many other national and international journals of repute and also presented his works at national and international conferences. His fields of research are reliability theory and applied mathematics. Dr. Ram is a Senior Member of the IEEE, Life Member of Operational Research Society of India, Society for Reliability Engineering, Quality and Operations Management in India, Indian Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Member of International Association of Engineers in Hong Kong, and Emerald Literati Network in the U.K. He has been a Member of the organizing committee of a number of international and national conferences, seminars, and workshops. He has been conferred with 'Young Scientist Award' by the Uttarakhand State Council for Science and Technology, Dehradun, in 2009. He has been awarded the 'Best Faculty Award' in 2011; 'Research Excellence Award' in 2015; and recently 'Outstanding Researcher Award' in 2018 for his significant contribution in academics and research at Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun, India.

Dr. Hoang Pham is a Distinguished Professor and Former Chairman (2007-2013) of the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Rutgers University, New Jersey. Before joining Rutgers, he was a Senior Engineering Specialist with the Boeing Company and the Idaho National Engineering Laboratory. He received the M.S. degree in Statistics from the University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, and the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in Industrial Engineering from the State University of New York, Buffalo.

Dr. Pham has been served as Editor-in-Chief, Editor, Associate Editor, Guest Editor and Board Member of many journals. He is the Editor of Springer Book Series in Reliability Engineering and the Editor of World Scientific Book Series on Industrial and Systems Engineering and has served as Conference Chair and Programme Chair of over 40 international conferences. He is the author or coauthor of 6 books and has published over 170 journal articles and edited 12 books including Springer Handbook in Engineering Statistics and Handbook in Reliability Engineering. He has delivered over 40 invited keynotes and plenary speeches at many international conferences. His numerous awards include the 2009 IEEE Reliability Society Engineer of the Year Award. He is a Fellow of the IEEE and the Institute of Industrial Engineers (IIE).

Inhalt

Preface 6
Contents 9
Time Varying Communication Networks: Modelling, Reliability Evaluation and Optimization 11
1 Introduction 12
2 Modelling Techniques 14
2.1 Overview 14
2.2 Evolving Graph Model 17
2.3 Path Set and Cut Set Model for TVCNs 19
3 Difference: TVCN and Static Network 21
4 Network Reliability: An Overview 22
4.1 Important Definitions and Metrics 22
4.2 Reliability Evaluation—Static Networks 22
4.3 Reliability Evaluation—TVCNs 23
4.4 Reliability Optimization 24
5 TVCN Reliability Evaluation 26
5.1 Network Model 27
5.2 TS-MPS Enumeration Techniques 27
5.3 TS-MCS Enumeration Techniques 33
5.4 Reliability Related Metrics Evaluation 34
6 Conclusions and Directions for Future Research 36
References 37
Methods for Prognosis and Optimization of Energy Plants Efficiency in Starting Step of Life Cycle 41
1 Introduction 43
2 Review of Previous Research 44
3 Theoretical Reviews 47
3.1 Life Cycle of Energy Power Plants 48
3.2 Effectiveness of the Energy System as a Complex Technical System 50
4 Selection of Parameters for the Evaluation of Energy Efficiency of Energy Systems 65
4.1 Time Characteristics Achieved in the Exploitation of the Energy System 65
4.2 Energetic Indicators Achieved in the Exploitation of Energy Systems 67
4.3 Technical and Economic Indicators Achieved in the Exploitation of the Energy System 68
5 Main Consumption of Thermal Power Plants 70
6 Methods for the Prognosis and Optimization of Energy Systems Efficiency 72
6.1 Methods for Giving Prognosis Estimates of the Effectiveness of Energy Systems 73
6.2 Mathematical Problem Optimization for the Efficiency of Energy Systems 80
7 Racionalization of Energy Consumption and Prevention for Their Implementation 92
8 Conclusions 93
References 100
Planning Methods for Production Systems Development in the Energy Sector and Energy Efficiency 104
1 Introduction 106
2 Review of Past Research 108
3 Basic Planning Schemes in the Field of Energetics 111
4 On Energy Safety, Diversification of Energy Sources and Quality of Energy 117
4.1 Energy Policy 120
4.2 Planning in Energetics 125
4.3 Integrated Planning and Energy Policy 127
5 Straight Planning of Electricity Production 130
5.1 Integrated Planning and Energy Policy 130
5.2 Level Includes—Global, Regional, National, Local or Project Level 137
5.3 General Considerations of Optimizing the Operation of the Electricity Energy System (EES) 138
5.4 Energy Efficiency Management System 140
5.5 Energy Efficiency Regulations in the EU and Republic of Srpska and BiH as a Whole 141
5.6 Guidelines for Energy Efficiency in Production 142
6 On Example of the Adopted Policy for the Strategy of Development of the Electric Power Sector 144
7 Conclusions 153
References 155
The Integral Method of Hazard and Risk Assessment for the Production Facilities Operations 158
1 The Method of Integrated Safety Assessment at Hazardous Production Facilities 158
1.1 Introduction 159
1.2 Goal Setting 161
1.3 Some Marks About Nonrandomness of Decision Rules 163
1.4 Method of Solution 164
1.5 Case Study 165
1.6 Conclusion 170
2 Some Methodological Aspects of Multicriteria Method of Decision-Making on the Sustainability and Security of Industrial Objects Exploitation 171
2.1 The Problem of Constructing an Integral Indicator Industrial Safety 172
2.2 The Main Provisions of the Group Analysis of Object Dynamics 174
2.3 Diffusion Approximation of Markov Processes. Fokker-Planck Equation 177
2.4 Estimation of Average Time of Passing «Way» for the Fulfilment of Obligations 180
2.5 Diffusion Model in Economic Behavior. Approaches to Developing a Methodology for Analyzing the Risk of Default of the Operating Organization 184
2.6 Example of Building a Dynamic Corridor Model 189
2.7 Target Construction Based on the Support Vector Machine 195
2.8 Case Study 199
2.9 Conclusion 205
References 206
Multi-level Hierarchical Reliability Model of Technical Systems: Theory and Application 209
1 Introduction 210
2 Methodology of Multilevel Hierarchical Reliability Model 213
2.1 Structure of MLHRM 213
2.2 Goals, Methods and Models 216
3 Application Cases 219
3.1 Electrical Helicopter 220
3.2 Icebreaker LNG Tanker with Electric Propulsion 221
3.3 Component Level and Subunit Level 223
3.4 Unit Level 224
3.5 Subsystem Level 231
3.6 System Level 237
4 Conclusions 240
References 240
Graph Theory Based Reliability Assessment Software Program for Complex Systems 243
1 Introduction 244
2 Reliability Modeling 244
2.1 What Is Reliability? 244
2.2 Statistical Distributions 246
3 Graph Theory 247
4 Reliability Assessment Software Program 249
5 Reliability Assessment Application for Aircraft 252
5.1 Aircraft System 252
5.2 Reliability Aircraft Analysis 253
5.3 Simulation Results and Discussion 254
6 Conclusions 256
References 257
Reliability and Vacation: The Critical Issue 258
1 Introduction 259
2 Machine Repair Problem (MRP) 260
3 MRP with N-Policy 264
4 MRP with Bernoulli Vacation Policy (BV) 268
5 MRP with Multiple Vacation Policy (MV) 272
6 MRP with Single Vacation Policy (SV) 276
7 MRP with Multiple Working Vacation Policy (MWV) 280
8 MRP with Single Working Vacation Policy (SWV) 284
9 MRP with Vacation Interruption Policy (VI) 288
10 Discussion 294
References 296
Software Multi Up-Gradation Modeling Based on Different Scenarios 300
1 Introduction 300
2 Notations 303
3 Methodology 304
4 Numerical Analysis 307
5 Conclusion 311
References 311
A Hidden Markov Model for a Day-Ahead Prediction of Half-Hourly Energy Demand in Romanian Electricity Market 313
1 Introduction 313
2 HMM Strategy 314
2.1 Assumptions and Preliminaries 314
2.2 Approach 317
3 Exploratory Results 321
4 Conclusions and Future Work 322
References 323
A General (Universal) Form of Multivariate Survival Functions in Theoretical and Modeling Aspect of Multicomponent System Reliability Analysis 324
1 Introduction 325
2 Marginal Factors Representation 326
3 Universality of Joiner Representation of Bivariariate Survival Functions 334
4 Baseline Factors Representation 336
5 k-Variate Survival Functions Universal Representation 340
6 Conclusions 345
References 347
An Exact Method for Solving a Least-Cost Attack on Networks 348
1 Introduction 348
2 Literature Review 349
3 Problem Statement 350
4 Solution Method 351
4.1 Notations 351
4.2 Solution Procedure 351
4.3 Illustration 354
5 Experimental Study and Discussion 360
6 Conclusions and Perspectives 362
References 364
Reliability Analysis of Complex Repairable System in Thermal Power Plant 365
1 Introduction 365
2 Research Background 366
3 Proposed Framework 367
4 Fuzzy Concept and Reliability Approach 367
4.1 Fuzzy Set Theory Basics 367
4.2 Fuzzy Lambda-Tau Approach 369
5 Case Study 371
5.1 Reliability Analysis 371
5.2 Result Discussion 372
6 Conclusion and Limitation of the Work 375
References 375
Performance Analysis of Suspension Bridge: A Reliability Approach 377
1 Introduction 377
2 Suppositions 379
3 Nomenclature 380
4 States Narrative 380
5 State Transition Diagram 381
6 Analysis and Methodology 382
7 Mathematical Computation 385
7.1 Availability 385
7.2 Reliability Analysis 386
7.3 Mean Time to Failure (MTTF) 387
7.4 Sensitivity Analysis 387
8 Results Discussion 389
9 Conclusion 390
References 390

Produkt-Details

• Erscheint lt. Verlag: 11.12.2019
• Reihe/Serie: Springer Series in Reliability Engineering
• Reihe/Serie: Springer Series in Reliability Engineering
• Zusatzinfo: X, 387 p. 170 illus., 119 illus. in color.
• Sprache: englisch
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Informatik
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Mathematik
• Themenwelt: Naturwissenschaften ► Physik / Astronomie
• Themenwelt: Technik ► Maschinenbau
• Schlagworte: Assurance Management • Life Cycle Management • Quality Control, Reliability, Safety and Risk • reliability modelling • Reliability Optimization • Software Reliability
• ISBN-10: 3-030-31375-1 / 3030313751
• ISBN-13: 978-3-030-31375-3 / 9783030313753