Systems Analysis Applications to Complex Programs (eBook)

Proceedings of the IFAC/IFORS/IIASA Workshop, Bielsko Biata, Poland, 1-6 June 1977

K. Cichocki, A. Straszak (Herausgeber)

eBook Download: PDF

2014 | 1. Auflage
340 Seiten
Elsevier Science (Verlag)
978-1-4832-9838-2 (ISBN)

Infos

Surveys the solution of complex problems at national and regional levels and outlines possible future developments

Inhalt

Front Cover 1
Systems Analysis Applications to Complex Programs 4
Copyright Page 5
Table of Content 8
List of Participants 12
Introduction 16
PART 1. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 18
CHAPTER 1. A MULTI-FACTOR APPROACH TO LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 18
1. INTRODUCTION 18
2. DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 18
3. FORMATION OF A DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM 20
4. DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM EVALUATION AND ASSESSMENT 22
5. CONCLUSION 26
REFERENCES 26
CHAPTER 2. LOCATION OF PRODUCTIVE ACTIVITIES AS A TASK OF SYSTEMS ANALYSIS 28
INTRODUCTION 28
COMMON SCHEME OF SYSTEMS OF MODELS 28
ECONOMIC ESTIMATION OF RESOURCES 30
PROBABILISTIC CHARACTER OF THE FUTURE 31
REFERENCES 32
CHAPTER 3. OPTIMUM ALLOCATION OF PRODUCTION FACTORS IN REGIONAL SYSTEMS 34
ABSTRACT 34
1. INTRODUCTION AMP FORMULATION OP THE BASIC OPTIMIZATION PROBLEM 34
2. OPTIMUM DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES 35
3. OPTIMUM REGIONAL ALLOCATION OF LABOR 37
REFERENCES 39
CHAPTER 4. AN ORGANIZATIONAL APPROACH TO REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS: THE BRATSK-ILIMSK TERRITORIAL PRODUCTION COMPLEX AS AN ILLUSTRATION 40
1. INTRODUCTION 40
2. THE FRAMEWORK 40
3. THE ORGANIZATIONAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE CONCEPT OF TERR I TOR IAL-PRODUCTION COMPLEX 42
REFERENCES 46
CHAPTER 5. AN APPROACH TO THE SOLUTION OF THE LOCATION PROBLEM IN URBAN EMERGENCY SERVICES 48
ABSTRACT 48
1. INTRODUCTION 48
2. NOTATION AND DEFINITIONS 48
3. PROBLEM FORMULATION 49
4. DESCRIPTION OF THE ALGORITHM 49
5. STRUCTURE OF THE ALGORITHM 51
6. CONCLUDING REMARKS 52
REFERENCES 53
CHAPTER 6. POLICY CHOICE USING A LARGE ECONOMETRIC MODEL 54
ABSTRACT 54
INTRODUCTION 54
THE ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK 54
THE DETERMINATION OF FINAL DEMAND 55
THE BRITISH ECONOMY 1977–85 55
THE CHOICE OF ECONOMIC POLICY 56
REFERENCES 59
CHAPTER 7. THE USE OF DUMMY VARIABLES IN ECONOMETRIC MACROMODELLING OF CENTRALLY PLANNED ECONOMIES 60
ABSTRACT 60
INTRODUCTION 60
2. ACCOUNTING FOR QUALITATIVE POLICY SHIFTS 60
3. SHUTTER VARIABLES 61
4. DUMMY VARIABLES AND PERIODICAL SHIFTS 62
5. ANTICIPATION VARIABLES 62
REFERENCES 63
CHAPTER 8. INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND ECONOMIC POLICY SIMULATIONS BASED ON MACROMODELS 64
ABSTRACT 64
CENTRAL PLANNING, INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND THE ROLE OF MATHEMATICAL MACRO-MODELS IN THE PLANNING PROCESS 64
TEE STRUCTURE OF THE MACROECONOMIC MODELS AND THE FRAMEWORK OF TffE CENTRAL PLANNING SYSTEM 65
ECONOMIC POLICY SIMULATIONS. AN EXAMPLE 67
MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS BEING COMPONENTS OF COMPUTERIZE INFORMATION SYSTEMS 70
REFERENCES 71
CHAPTER 9. SOLUTIONS OF DYNAMIC NONLINEAR PLANNING MODEL VIA AUGMENTED LAGRANGIAN 72
ABSTRACT 72
INTRODUCTION 72
OPTIMAL CONTROL PROBLEM 74
COMPUTATIONAL METHOD 74
CONCLUSIONS 75
REFERENCES 76
CHAPTER 10. REGIONAL AND NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 78
DISCUSSANTS 79
CHAPTER 11. SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY–APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS APPROACH 80
THE ROOT OF THE PROBLEM 80
A MODEL FOR SYSTEMS ANALYSIS OF NEW TECHNOLOGY 81
PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE 82
CHAPTER 12. MODELLING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 84
ABSTRACT 84
INTRODUCTION 84
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 84
IMTC: INTEGRATED MODEL OF TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 87
NATIONAL TECHNOLOGICAL ENGINES 89
CONCLUSIONS 90
REFERENCES 90
CHAPTER 13. MATHEMATICAL MODELS OF RESOURCE ALLOCATION TO INTERRELATED R& D ACTIVITIES
1. INTRODUCTION 92
2. R & D DECISION PROBLEM
3. MODEL WITH COMPLETELY INDEPENDENT NETWORK 93
4. SHARED PROJECT COMPONENTS MODEL 94
5. SHARED TECHNICAL APPROACHES MODEL 96
6. CONCLUSIONS 97
APPENDIX 97
REFERENCES 98
CHAPTER 14. PROJECT EVALUATION AND SELECTION SYSTEM FOR NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 100
ABSTRACT 100
SUMMARY AND STATEMENT OF PURPOSE 100
THE GENERAL SOWA SYSTEM CONCEPT 100
GENERAL SOWA SYSTEM STRUCTURE AND BASIC INTERACTIONS 102
THE SOWA SYSTEM MODULES 104
BIBLIOGRAPHY 104
CHAPTER 15. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT 106
DISCUSSANTS 107
CHAPTER 16. MODELLING AND SIMULATION OF BACTERIAL POPULATION AGE DISTRIBUTION IN ACTIVATED SLUDGE PLANT 108
INTRODUCTION 108
MODELLING OF THE ACTIVATED SLUDGE PROCESS 109
MODELLING OF AGE DYNAMIC 111
NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF AGE DISTRIBUTION 114
CONCLUSIONS 114
REFERENCES 115
CHAPTER 17. SYSTEM MODELS FOR WATER QUALITY MANAGEMENT LINKED WITH INTEGRATED REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN THE KINKI REGION OF JAPAN 118
INTRODUCTION 118
WATER RESOURCE PROBLEMS AND THE KINKI IRD PROJECT 119
SYSTEM MODELS FOR WATER QUALITY MANAGEMENT 120
WATER QUALITY MODEL OF THE LAKE BIWA- YODO RIVER BASIN 121
CONCLUDING REMARKS AND FUTURE DIRECTION 123
REFERENCES 124
CHAPTER 18. REAL TIME OPTIMAL CONTROL ALGORITHM FOR THERMAL ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEM 126
ABSTRACT 126
MODEL AND DYNAMIC EQUATION OF SYSTEM 126
OPTIMIZATION 128
CONSTRUCTION REAL-TIME ALGORITHM 131
IMPLEMENTATION 131
REFERENCES 132
CHAPTER 19. ADECISION AIDING SYSTEM FOR IMPROVING THE ENVIRONMENTAL STANDARD SETTING PROCESS 134
THE STANDARD SETTING PROBLEM 134
THE GENERAL DECISION THEORETIC MODEL 135
THE REGULATOR-DEVELOPER-IMPACTEE MODEL 136
POSSIBLE USES OF THE MODEL 137
REFERENCES 138
Acknowledgements 139
CHAPTER 20. ENVIRONMENTAL SUBSYSTEM IN THE NORMATIVE MODEL OF COMPLEX DEVELOPMENT 140
1. INTRODUCTION 140
2. POLLUTION DAMAGE AND PURIFICATION COSTS 141
3. ADMISSIBLE POLLUTION LEVEL AND DEVELOPMENT 142
4. RESIDUALS MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN MRI 143
EVALUATION OF NEW INVESTMENT OPTIONS 144
6. CONCLUSION 145
ACKNOWLEDGMENT 145
REFERENCES 145
CHAPTER 21. SOME PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING MODELS OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SYSTEMS 146
CHAPTER 22. EVALUATION OF THE ENERGY STRATEGIES IMPACT ON ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT 152
ABSTRACT 152
INTRODUCTION 152
CAPABILITIES OF THE IMPACT MODEL 152
MATHEMATICAL DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL 153
INTERLINKING THE IMPACT MODEL WITH OTHER IIASA MODELS 153
REFERENCES 154
CHAPTER 23. HIERARCHICAL ECONOMIC DISPATCHING IN ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS WITH LOAD UNCERTAINTIES 156
1. INTRODUCTION 156
2. ACTIVE POWER DISPATCHING WITH LOAD UNCERTAINTIES 156
3. DECOMPOSITION OF THE DISPATCHING PROBLEM 157
4. SYSTEM RELIABILITY 158
REFERENCES 159
CHAPTER 24. EXPANSION PLANNING OF THE RESOURCE-ENERGY SYSTEM 160
1. INTRODUCTION 160
2. THE TRANSITION TO THE SUBSTITUTION FOR FOSSIL FUELS AND TO THE NEAR-BREEDER OR BREEDER REACTOR GENERATION 160
3. THE MODULAR STRUCTURE OF THE RESOURCE SYSTEM PLANNING 161
4. TRANSITION SYSTEM OF THE PRIMARY ENERGY CARRIERS TO THE ENERGY CONSUMMERS 162
5. OPTIMAL STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROBLEM OF THE TRANSITION TO THE FINAL SUBSTITUTION 163
6. OPTIMAL STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROBLEM OF THE NUCLEAR SYSTEM EXPANSION 165
7. CONCLUDING 166
REFERENCES 166
CHAPTER 25. ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES IN DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS 168
DISCUSSANTS 169
CHAPTER 26. MULTILEVEL STRUCTURES FOR ON-LINE DYNAMIC CONTROL 170
1, Introduction 170
2. Dynamic price coordination 170
3. Multilevel control based upon state–feedback concept 174
4. Structures using conjugate variables 175
5. Conclusions 177
References 177
CHAPTER 27. PRICE COORDINATION MECHANISM AND CONTROL OF STEADY-STATE PROCESSES 180
ABSTRACT 180
1. INTRODUCTION AND SYSTilK DESCRIPTION 180
2. CONTROL STRUCTURES WITH FEEDBACK TO THE SECOND LAYER CONTROLLER 181
3. EXISTENCE AND FEASIBILITY OF IBMF SOLUTION MODIFIED INTERACTION BALANCE METHOD WITH FEEDBACK
4. COORDINATION STRATEGIES 186
5. A FEASIBLE PRICE COORDINATION 188
Acknowledgement 190
REFERENCES 190
CHAPTER 28. MULTILEVEL STEADY-STATE CONTROL BASED ON DIRECT APPROACH 192
ABSTRACT 192
1 . INTRODUCTION 192
2. FORMULATION OF THE CONTROL PROBLEM 193
3. COORDINATION METHODS 195
4. ALGORITHMS OP PROBLEM SOLVING 197
5. EXAMPLE RESULTS 199
6 . CONCLUSIONS 199
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 200
REFERENCES 200
APPENDIX 200
CHAPTER 29. THE DESIGN OF HIERARCHICAL CONTROL SYSTEMS BY DECOMPOSITION OF THE OVERALL CONTROL PROBLEM 202
ABSTRACT 202
INTRODUCTION 202
BASIC PROBLEM MANIPULATIONS 202
DECOMPOSITION TO OBTAIN AN HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE 204
APPLICATION OF PROBLEM DECOMPOSITION - AN EXAMPLE 206
CONCLUSION 209
REFERENCES 209
CHAPTER 30. AN ON-LINE APPROACH IN COORDINATION OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS 210
ABSTRACT 210
INTRODUCTION 210
PROBLEM FORMULATION 210
THE BALANCE PRINCIPLE 212
THE PREDICTION PRINCIPLE 214
CONCLUSIONS 215
REFERENCES 215
CHAPTER 31. SYSTEM ANALYSIS AND SYNTHESIS OF THE SUPERVISORY CONTROL OF THE REFORMING PROCESS IN OIL REFINERY 216
ABSTRACT 216
INTRODUCTION 216
DISTURBANCES. MANIPULATED VA–RIABLES CUTPUTS. THE GOALS OF CONTROL 217
MATHEMATICAL MODELS OF REFORMING PLANT 217
IDENTIFICATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODELS 218
DYNAMIC OPTIMIZATION 220
CONTROL STRUCTURE 221
CONCLUSIONS 222
NOMENCLATURE 222
REFERENCES 222
CHAPTER 32. OPERATIVE CONTROL ALGORITHM FOR CONTINUOUS PRODUCTION SYSTEM WITH STORES 224
1. INTRODUCTION 224
2. CONTINUOUS PRODUCTION PROCESS WITH STORES. THE FORMULATION OF OPTIMIZATION PROBLEM WITH FIXED PLANNING HORIZON 224
3, OPERATIVE CONTROL OF PRODUCTION. THE DETERMINISTIC PART OF THE PROBLEM 226
4. OPERATIVE CONTROL OF PRODUCTION. THE STOCHASTIC PART OF THE PROBLEM 228
CHAPTER 33. CONTROLLED LARGE TELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKS 232
ABSTRACT 232
IOTROUUCTION 232
MODELS OF A NETWORK 233
CONTROLLED THREE-LAYER I/Tjc,fWORK 234
NETWORK CONTROL 235
NETWORK PLANNING 236
CONCLUSIONS 236
ACKNOWLEDGMENT 237
REFERENCES 237
CHAPTER 34. AN APPLICATION OF NONLINEAR PROGRAMMING AND THE OPTIMUM PRODUCTION STRATEGY OF MULTI-PLANT FIRMS 238
INTRODUCTION 238
M ULTI-PLANT ECONOMIES OF SCALE 238
THE OPTIMIZATION MODEL 239
INDUSTRIAL APPLICATIONS 240
CONCLUSIONS 243
REFERENCES 243
CHAPTER 35. CHAPTER DATA ACQUISITION AND CONTROL IN DECENTRALIZED SYSTEMS 244
1. INTRODUCTION 244
2. STATEMENT OF THE C0MMUNICATI0N-C0NTR0L PROBLEM ON A FINITE TIME HORIZON 245
3. SOLUTION OF THE COMMUNICATION-CONTROL PROBLEM ON A FINITE TIME HORIZON 246
4. A SIMPLIFIED VERSION OF THE PROBLEM 247
5. STATEMENT OF THE C0MMUNICATI0N-C0NTR0L PROBLEM ON AN INFINITE TIME HORIZON 247
6. SUFFICIENT CONDITIONS FOR THE EXISTENCE OF OPTIMAL STATIONARY STRATEGIES 248
7. EXISTENCE OF AN OPTIMAL STATIONARY STRATEGY FOR PROBLEM 248
8 . NUMERICAL RESULTS AND COMPUTATIONAL ASPECTS OF DM lfS OPTIMAL STRATEGY 249
9. CONCLUSIONS 250
APPENDIX: PROOF OF THEOREM 4 250
ACKNOWLEDGMENT 251
REFERENCES 251
CHAPTER 36. MULTIHORIZON - MULTILEVEL OPERATIVE PRODUCTION AND MAINTENANCE CONTROL 252
ABSTRACT 252
FORMULATION OF THE PROBLEM 252
DECOMPOSITION OF THE PROBLEM 254
SOLUTION OF THE SUBPROBLEM "A" - PRODUCTION AND EQUIPMENT REFIT STOPPAGES PLANNING 254
REFERENCES 259
CHAPTER 37. EVOLUTIONARY HIERARCHICAL CONTROL SYSTEMS OF COMPLEX PRODUCTION PROCESSES 260
INTRODUCTION 260
THE PROBLEM STATEMENT 261
THE CONCEPTION OF SOLUTION OF THE EVOLUTIONARY HIERARCHICAL CONTROL SYSTEM OF COMPLEX PLANT 264
THE REALIZATION /SIMULATION/ OF THE EVOLUTIONARY HIERARCHICAL CONTROL SYsTEM FOR THE CHOSEN METALLURGICAL PLANT 267
REFERENCES 267
CHAPTER 38. STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF LARGE SCALE SYSTEMS BY PARTIAL TEARING METHOD 268
ABSTRACT 268
1. INTRODUCTION 268
2. DECOMPOSITION METHODS 269
3. PROPERTIES OF THE PTM 271
4. EFFICIENCY CRITERION 272
5. CRITERION OF LIPSCHITZ CONSTANT 273
CONCLUSIONS 275
6. REFERSNCE 275
CHAPTER 39. MULTILEVEL OPTIMIZATION OF THE COMPLEX OF OPERATIONS 276
ABSTRACT 276
IHTRODUCTION 276
DETBRMIKISTIC CASE 276
PROBABILISTIC CASE 278
TWO LEVEL ADAPTIVE SYSTEM 279
REFERENCES 280
CHAPTER 40. ANALYSIS AND CONTROL IN MULTILEVEL SYSTEMS 282
DISCUSSANTS 283
CHAPTER 41.SYSTEMATIC CORPORATE PLANNING 284
INTRODUCTION 284
SYSTEMATIC PLANNING 284
THE PLANNING ENVIRONMENT 284
MODELING SYSTEMS 285
MARGINAL_INCOME EQUALS SALES MINUS 
286 
CMS - A MODELING SYSTEM 287
REFERENCES 290
CHAPTER 42. MULTI-GOAL MODEL OF COST ACCOUNTING AND ELECTRONIC DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM 292
INTRODUCTION 292
REFERENCES 295
CHAPTER 43. METHOD OF COMPUTER-AIDED ANALYSIS AND DESIGN OF LARGE SCALE MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS 296
ABSTRACT 296
1. INTRODUCTION 296
2. HYPOTHETICAL MATHEMAICAL MODELS OF MANAGEMENTS SYSTEMS 297
5. DATA ACQUISITION 298
4. IDENTFICATION OF THE MODEL 299
5. THE METOHD OF COMPUTER DAGNOIS AND IMPROMENT OF MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS 299
6. ALGORITHI.IS FCR THE IDETCIFICATIOX OF SYSTEM DEFICIENCIES SYLIPTOMS 301
7. THE METHOD OF COMPUTER-AIDED DESIGN OF MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS 301
8. CONCLUSIONS 302
9. REFERENCES 302
CHAPTER 44. MATHEMATICAL MODELLING IN LARGE SCALE PRODUCTION PROBLEMS 304
ABSTRACT 304
INTRODUCTION 304
GRAPH OF PRODUCTION 304
AGGREGATION 305
APPLICATION TO PRODUCTION FLA1TNING 306
CONCLUSIONS 308
REFERENCES 308
CHAPTER 45. A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF INDUSTRY AND SOCIETY. POLICY, STABILITY, GOVERNABILITY, STRATEGIES 310
ABSTRACT 310
KEYWORDS 310
CONCLUSION 315
BIBLIOGRAPHY 315
CHAPTER 46. ASSESSMENT OF INTER-INSTITUTIONAL USE OF MODELS IN A LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENT PROBLEM 316
ABSTRACT 316
INTRODUCTION 316
CASE STUDIES 317
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY CASE 318
THE BRATSK-ILIMSK TERRITORIAL PRODUCTION COMPLEX CASE 319
THE INTER-INSTITUTIONAL CASE: NORTH SEA OIL PROVINCE DEVELOPMENT 320
EMERGENCE OF MODEL SYSTEMS 322
REFERENCES 322
CHAPTER 47. MULTISTAGE COOPERATIVE GAMES IN HIERARCHICAL SYSTEMS WITH UNCERTAINTY 324
1.INTRODUCTION 324
2. SYSTEM DESCRIPTION 324
3. COALITIVE STRATEGIES 325
4. GENERAL METHOD FOR SOLVING 327
REFERENCES 329
MANAGEMENT 48. AND GOAL-ORIENTED SYSTEMS 330
DISCUSSANTS 331

Produkt-Details

• Erscheint lt. Verlag: 28.6.2014
• Sprache: englisch
• Themenwelt: Mathematik / Informatik ► Informatik ► Theorie / Studium
• Themenwelt: Naturwissenschaften
• Themenwelt: Technik ► Bauwesen
• Themenwelt: Technik ► Maschinenbau
• ISBN-10: 1-4832-9838-8 / 1483298388
• ISBN-13: 978-1-4832-9838-2 / 9781483298382