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Statistical Methods in Counterterrorism (eBook)

Game Theory, Modeling, Syndromic Surveillance, and Biometric Authentication
eBook Download: PDF
2007 | 2006
XII, 292 Seiten
Springer New York (Verlag)
978-0-387-35209-1 (ISBN)

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With the realization that many clues and hints preceded the September 11 terrorist attacks, statisticians became an important part of the global war on terror. This book surveys emerging research at the intersection of national security and statistical sciences. In it, a diverse group of talented researchers address such topics as Syndromic Surveillance; Modeling and Simulation; Biometric Authentication; and Game Theory. The book includes general reviews of quantitative approaches to counterterrorism, for decision makers with policy backgrounds, as well as technical treatments of statistical issues that will appeal to quantitative researchers.


All the data was out there to warn us of this impending attack, why didn't we see it?"e; This was a frequently asked question in the weeks and months after the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on September 11, 2001. In the wake of the attacks, statisticians moved quickly to become part of the national response to the global war on terror. This book is an overview of the emerging research program at the intersection of national security and statistical sciences. A wide range of talented researchers address issues in - Syndromic Surveillance---How do we detect and recognize bioterrorist events?- Modeling and Simulation---How do we better understand and explain complex processes so that decision makers can take the best course of action?- Biometric Authentication---How do we pick the terrorist out of the crowd of faces or better match the passport to the traveler?- Game Theory---How do we understand the rules that terrorists are playing by?This book includes technical treatments of statistical issues that will be of use to quantitative researchers as well as more general examinations of quantitative approaches to counterterrorism that will be accessible to decision makers with stronger policy backgrounds.Dr. Alyson G. Wilson is a statistician and the technical lead for DoD programs in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. Gregory D. Wilson is a rhetorician and ethnographer in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. David H. Olwell is chair of the Department of Systems Engineering at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California.

Preface 6
Contents 10
Game Theory 12
Game Theory in an Age of Terrorism: How Can Statisticians Contribute? 13
Combining Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism: A Smallpox Example 18
Game-Theoretic and Reliability Methods in Counterterrorism and Security 32
Biometric Authentication 50
Biometric Authentication 51
Towards Statistically Rigorous Biometric Authentication Using Facial Images 54
Recognition Problem of Biometrics: Nonparametric Dependence Measures and Aggregated Algorithms 87
Syndromic Surveillance 104
Data Analysis Research Issues and Emerging Public Health Biosurveillance Directions 105
Current and Potential Statistical Methods for Monitoring Multiple Data Streams for Biosurveillance 112
Evaluating Statistical Methods for Syndromic Surveillance 144
A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Syndromic Data for Biosurveillance 176
Modeling 195
Modeling and Simulation for Defense and National Security 196
Modeling and Parameterization for a Smallpox Simulation Study 200
Approaches to Modeling the Concentration Field for Adaptive Sampling of Contaminants during Site Decontamination 215
Secure Statistical Analysis of Distributed Databases 236
Statistical Evaluation of the Impact of Background Suppression on the Sensitivity of Passive Radiation Detectors 261
Index 279

Erscheint lt. Verlag 15.1.2007
Zusatzinfo XII, 292 p. 14 illus.
Verlagsort New York
Sprache englisch
Themenwelt Informatik Theorie / Studium Künstliche Intelligenz / Robotik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Statistik
Mathematik / Informatik Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeit / Kombinatorik
Medizin / Pharmazie Gesundheitswesen
Technik Elektrotechnik / Energietechnik
Wirtschaft Betriebswirtschaft / Management Planung / Organisation
Schlagworte algorithms • biometrics • Cognition • Data Analysis • Databases • Game Theory • linear optimization • metrics • Modeling • Simulation • Statistica • Statistical Analysis • statistical method • terrorism • Terrorist
ISBN-10 0-387-35209-0 / 0387352090
ISBN-13 978-0-387-35209-1 / 9780387352091
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